Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.800686 0.937030 1.084163 1.254102 1.444314 1.649999 1.888560
2025-08-24 0.578418 0.767249 0.990641 1.271209 1.610768 2.004982 2.493559
2025-08-31 0.425276 0.634614 0.903995 1.268064 1.738576 2.317146 3.072441
2025-09-07 0.339623 0.563085 0.872521 1.317259 1.923424 2.703275 3.762669
2025-09-14 0.273219 0.500603 0.837619 1.349439 2.080078 3.056836 4.428350
2025-09-21 0.210415 0.427603 0.772434 1.325182 2.149857 3.292503 4.946316
2025-09-28 0.174053 0.388157 0.749225 1.355219 2.293092 3.631018 5.615078
2025-10-05 0.144779 0.353706 0.727059 1.381175 2.428062 3.961184 6.284269
2025-10-12 0.120637 0.322727 0.704816 1.402098 2.553447 4.280554 6.949164
2025-10-19 0.097849 0.288347 0.670314 1.396853 2.634405 4.535138 7.528215
2025-10-26 0.076628 0.251128 0.623764 1.363881 2.665350 4.712403 7.997420
2025-11-02 0.063179 0.228159 0.600802 1.369271 2.757799 4.985965 8.618366
2025-11-09 0.048327 0.196993 0.556476 1.331528 2.776847 5.150015 9.088564
2025-11-16 0.039463 0.179280 0.538015 1.341167 2.878738 5.451432 9.783632
2025-11-23 0.031317 0.160333 0.513071 1.334551 2.950246 5.705939 10.414710
2025-11-30 0.027277 0.153442 0.515609 1.384366 3.127481 6.142439 11.349247
2025-12-07 0.023118 0.144245 0.510616 1.417253 3.274476 6.533465 12.223209
2025-12-14 0.017670 0.126869 0.480644 1.391812 3.307889 6.731387 12.789568
2025-12-21 0.014907 0.119462 0.476283 1.422934 3.452100 7.125282 13.688608
2025-12-28 0.012470 0.112090 0.470507 1.449864 3.589040 7.510973 14.584962
2026-01-04 0.010314 0.104661 0.462987 1.471583 3.716219 7.883449 15.469429
2026-01-11 0.008052 0.094671 0.445214 1.466128 3.786905 8.156714 16.193799
2026-01-18 0.005851 0.082575 0.417394 1.431872 3.794631 8.315107 16.726126